{"article":{"id":1961,"slug":"strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-solar-irradiance-for-h2-2026","title":"Strengthening El Nino to Reshape Global Solar Irradiance for H2 2026","category":"news","summary":"Solcast forecasts that a strengthening El Nino will reshape global solar irradiance in H2 2026, with Southeast Asian solar markets potentially seeing drier, sunnier conditions.","content":"## English\n\n* **Solcast**, a DNV company, reports that a developing **El Nino weather pattern** is expected to strengthen through the second half of 2026, significantly reshaping global solar irradiance\n* In its weekly update for **PV Magazine**, Solcast forecasts that El Nino will **redistribute solar resources** across key solar markets worldwide\n* Analysis of past strong El Nino events in **2009, 2015, and 2023** shows how sharply solar irradiance patterns can shift, affecting solar PV generation in different regions\n* In the first half of 2026, solar irradiance was **broadly above average** across many regions, but El Nino conditions are expected to create more variability in H2 2026\n* **East Asia** experienced elevated irradiance in May 2026, with Tokyo recording irradiance about **15% above its 2007-2025 average**\n* For **Southeast Asian solar markets**, El Nino typically brings drier and sunnier conditions, potentially boosting solar PV output but also increasing heat-related panel efficiency losses\n* Solar project developers and grid operators in Malaysia and ASEAN should **monitor irradiance forecasts closely** to optimize generation planning and grid integration strategies\n\n## 中文\n\n* **Solcast**（DNV旗下公司）报告称，正在发展的**厄尔尼诺气候模式**预计将在2026年下半年显著增强，重塑全球太阳辐照度\n* 在为**《光伏杂志》**提供的每周更新中，Solcast预测厄尔尼诺将在全球主要太阳能市场之间**重新分配太阳能资源**\n* 对**2009年、2015年和2023年**过去三次强厄尔尼诺事件的分析显示，太阳辐照度模式可能发生剧烈变化，影响不同地区的太阳能光伏发电\n* 2026年上半年，许多地区的太阳辐照度**普遍高于平均水平**，但厄尔尼诺条件预计将在2026年下半年带来更多变异性\n* **东亚**在2026年5月经历了偏高的辐照度，东京记录的辐照度比其2007-2025年平均值**高出约15%**\n* 对于**东南亚太阳能市场**，厄尔尼诺通常带来更干燥和晴朗的条件，可能提升太阳能光伏发电量，但也会增加与高温相关的组件效率损失\n* 马来西亚和东盟的太阳能项目开发商和电网运营商应**密切关注辐照度预测**，以优化发电规划和电网整合策略","html_content":"

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\n\n","author":"Eternalgy Market Intelligence Team","tags":"solar, tech","meta_description":"Solcast forecasts El Nino to reshape global solar irradiance in H2 2026, potentially boosting Southeast Asian solar PV output with drier conditions.","published":true,"created_at":"2026-07-10T12:50:00.000Z","updated_at":"2026-07-10T21:07:16.031Z","source_url":"https://www.pv-magazine.com/2026/07/10/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-irradiance-for-the-second-half-of-2026/","source_name":"PV Magazine","published_at":"2026-07-10T12:50:00.000Z","noindex":false,"marketing_line":"Eternalgy brings latest solar tech to Malaysia homes & businesses: https://eternalgy.me/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-solar-irradiance-for-h2-2026","marketing_line_cn":"Eternalgy将最新太阳能科技带给马来西亚家庭和企业：https://eternalgy.me/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-solar-irradiance-for-h2-2026"},"schemaData":{"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://eternalgy.me/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-solar-irradiance-for-h2-2026#newsarticle","headline":"Strengthening El Nino to Reshape Global Solar Irradiance for H2 2026","description":"Solcast forecasts that a strengthening El Nino will reshape global solar irradiance in H2 2026, with Southeast Asian solar markets potentially seeing drier, sunnier conditions.","image":["https://eternalgy.me/logo.png"],"datePublished":"2026-07-10T12:50:00.000Z","dateModified":"2026-07-10T21:07:16.031Z","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Eternalgy Market Intelligence Team"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Eternalgy Sdn Bhd","url":"https://eternalgy.me","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://eternalgy.me/logo.png"},"foundingDate":"2023-09-15","sameAs":["https://eternalgy.com","https://solarpanels.my","https://solarpanels.onesync.my","https://solar100.com.my"]},"mainEntityOfPage":"https://eternalgy.me/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-solar-irradiance-for-h2-2026","isBasedOn":"https://www.pv-magazine.com/2026/07/10/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-irradiance-for-the-second-half-of-2026/"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https://eternalgy.me"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Energy News","item":"https://eternalgy.me/news"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Strengthening El Nino to Reshape Global Solar Irradiance for H2 2026","item":"https://eternalgy.me/strengthening-el-nino-to-reshape-global-solar-irradiance-for-h2-2026"}]}]}}